2005 Rice Production Target Set at 8.51 Million
Tons On November 22, 2004 following a meeting
of the Staple Foods Sub-Committee of
the
Council on Food, Agriculture and Rural
Area
Policies, the Ministry of Agriculture,
Forestry
and Fisheries (MAFF) decided the target
production
volume for rice to be produced in 2005
and
the allocation of target production
volume
by prefecture. The overall target production
volume has been set at 8.51 million
tons,
60,000 tons less than in 2004, and
target
production volume has been reduced
as compared
with 2004 in 39 prefectures, including
Hokkaido. Government purchasing volume for rice produced
in 2004 was set at 400,000 tons, and
the
volume of government rice to be sold
off
by the end of June 2005 was set at
100,000
tons. Target production volume is decided on the
basis of forecast demand for rice and
the
level of rice stocks. The forecast
of demand
for rice between July 2005 and June
2006
(published in July 2004) is 80,000
tons lower
than the previous year's forecast at
8.51
million tons. In setting the target
production
volume, MAFF took into account the
fact that
government rice stocks at the end of
June
were about 600,000 tons, below the
level
considered appropriate, and that, with
a
national average crop index for 2004
of 98,
short-term supply and demand are in
equilibrium.
MAFF appears to have stepped up the
pressure
for production adjustments, so as to
encourage
farmers to grow rice that will sell. In terms of land area, the figure of 600,000
tons corresponds to approximately 11,000
hectares. The allocations of target production volume
to prefectures were decided on the
basis
of forecasts of demand in each prefecture
for rice produced in 2005, which were
based
on actual demand over the five years
from
1999 to 2003. The calculations used
data
for three years out of the five, disregarding
the two years in which fluctuation
due to
good or poor harvests was greatest.
To ensure
continuity of farming business management,
some allowance was made for actual
production
relative to target production volume
for
rice produced in 2004. MAFF gave a
relative
weighting of 60% to forecast demand
and 40%
to actual production this year. Government to Draw Up Brand Strategy for
Agricultural Exports On November 24, 2004, the government's Intellectual
Property Policy Headquarters convened
the
first meeting of the "Japan Brand
Working
Group", a body responsible for
drawing
up a brand strategy for Japanese agricultural
products and Japanese cuisine. The
Working
Group's mission is to promote the production
of distinctive local agricultural products
such as the Yubari melon, and develop
export
opportunities. The culinary experts
on the
Working Group told the meeting that
interest
in Japanese foods such as "Kobe
beef"
and traditional Japanese cuisine is
growing
overseas. At future meetings, the Working
Group will discuss specific methods
of promoting
exports of agricultural products, ways
of
encouraging a reappraisal of traditional
Japanese cuisine, boosting domestic
consumption
of foods in the form of Japanese cuisine,
and promoting Japanese cuisine overseas.
The Working Group is to publish its
interim
conclusions by the end of the month. 25 Billion Yen of Tax Sources Transferred
from MAFF to Local Government On November 26, 2004, the government and
ruling parties approved an "overview"
of the sanmi-ittai ["Trinity"] reforms of taxation
and finance at central and local government
levels. In conjunction with the reduction
of MAFF subsidies, sources of tax revenue
worth approximately 25 billion yen
allocated
to the funding of non-public works
projects
are to be transferred to local government. Of the tax sources relating to non-public
works projects, tax sources relating
to forestry
projects worth 5.6 billion are to be
transferred
in fiscal 2005. Of the grants in respect
of the Cooperative Agricultural Extension
Project handled by "agricultural
extension
centers", etc. and grants to agricultural
committees, tax sources intended to
cover
personnel costs worth 19.4 billion
yen are
to be transferred in fiscal 2006. Grants
in respect of activity costs are to
be continued.
To help ensure that projects are continued,
grants in respect of activity costs
will
be reduced if local governments fail
to implement
projects on a scale corresponding to
the
amount of tax sources transferred. Sources of tax revenue used to subsidize
interest payments on loans made by
JA agricultural
cooperatives and fishing cooperatives
to
farmers and fishermen, to cover modernization
costs, will also be transferred. As
the system
operates on the premise that if local
governments
do not subsidize interest payments,
the central
government will not either and the
decision
has effectively been left to local
government,
it was judged that transferring tax
sources
would have no negative impact. Altogether, tax sources worth approximately
25 billion yen are to be transferred.
Besides
transferring tax sources, the reforms
will
bring 177 subsidized projects under
the umbrella
of 7 non-project specific grants, so
as to
give local governments greater freedom
in
the use of funds. As to public works projects, central government
will continue to fund large-scale projects
and projects covering a wide geographical
area with an eye to national land conservation
and the fostering of "core"
farmers.
In future, central government will
not provide
subsidies for small-scale public works
projects
such as repairs, and will entrust their
implementation
to local government. Keyword: Transfer of sources of tax revenue The transfer of sources of tax revenue from
central government to local government
will
ultimately involve the transfer of
authority
to levy taxes. However, for fiscal
2005,
the transfer will take a "temporary"
form under which authority to levy
will not
be transferred and amounts equivalent
to
the supposedly transferred tax revenue
will
be allocated to local government under
the
title of "special grants in lieu
of
anticipated transfer of tax sources". Suspension of Shipment of Somatic Cell-Cloned
Cattle to Continue to End of 2006 On December 3, 2004, the Ministry of Agriculture,
Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF) announced
that
it had decided a policy of continuing
to
advise voluntary suspension of the
shipment
of "somatic cell-cloned cattle"
and of calves born to such animals.
The advised
suspension is likely to continue at
least
until the end of 2006, as it will take
around
three years to collect sufficient data
to
confirm the safety of calves bred using
the
semen of somatic cell-cloned cattle.
Once
the data have been collected and after
conferring
with the Ministry of Health, Labour
and Welfare,
MAFF will ask the Food Safety Commission
to evaluate the safety of the animals. Because somatic cell-cloned cattle are bred
using somatic cells, without insemination,
they have exactly the same genetic
makeup
as the animal from which they are cloned.
In a report published in May 2003,
MHLW took
the position that the constituents
of the
meat and milk of somatic cell-cloned
cattle
were no different from that of ordinary
cattle,
and that it was difficult to envisage
the
existence of any special factor that
might
impair their safety as foods, but that
caution
should be exercised. However, it is
likely
that any meat or milk released onto
the market
would in fact come from cattle bred
using
sperm from somatic cell-cloned cattle
and
their offspring, and consumers have
expressed
concern over the safety of cattle of
these
generations. MAFF has decided that, to convince consumers
of their safety, it will be necessary
to
collect data on the effects on the
children
and grandchildren of somatic cell-cloned
cattle, and be able to answer to such
concerns
(Livestock Production and Feed Division
of
the Agricultural Production Bureau
Livestock
Industry Department). The collection
of data
is to begin in earnest by the end of
2004,
chiefly under the auspices of the National
Institute of Livestock and Grassland
Science.
Tests to be conducted include feeding
the
meat of calves of somatic-cell cloned
cattle
to rats and analysis of the constituents
of meat and milk. Special Zones for Structural Reform to be
Extended Nationwide On December 17, the government's Headquarters
for the Promotion of Special Zones for Structural
Reform will convene a meeting of its Evaluation
Committee to decide which types of special
zone should be created nationwide. It now
appears certain that the participation of
ordinary joint stock companies in agriculture
will be included in the scheme of special
zones to be promoted nationwide. The meeting
is also likely to decide matters relating
to the Agricultural Land Law, including (i)
a relaxation of the lower limit on the area
of farmland that may be purchased and (ii)
the inclusion of the operation of agricultural
work experience programs and minshuku [bed & breakfast-type guesthouses] in
the scope of agriculture-related businesses
that may be undertaken by agricultural
production
corporations. The Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and
Fisheries (MAFF) has already said that,
in
its view, the participation of joint
stock
companies has presented no difficulties
in
the continuation of farming in the
surrounding
area, in the special zones created
to date. Government policy is that special zones for
structural reform should be created
throughout
Japan if no problems arise, and the
decision
to go ahead with the project will effectively
be taken at the meeting of the Evaluation
Committee on December 17. Although permission for ordinary joint stock
companies to rent farmland and the
relaxation
of the lower limit on the area of farmland
that may be purchased are to apply
in special
zones throughout Japan, MAFF intends
to restrict
these measures to areas where there
is a
high risk that cultivation of land
will be
abandoned. MAFF also intends to include
in
the revision of the system measures
to ensure
harmonization with existing farming
businesses
in the surrounding area and prevent
any negative
impact on the fostering of "core"
farmers. The relaxation of the lower limit on the
area of farmland that may be purchased
will
allow municipalities to set a lower
limit
as low as 10 ares. Until now, it has
not
been possible, in principle, to purchase
less than 50 ares of farmland. The
new measure
will also be included in the measures
to
prevent abandonment of farmland cultivation
under the new Basic Plan for Food,
Agriculture
and Rural Areas. MAFF intends to present proposals for an
amendment of the Agricultural Land
Law to
the ordinary session of the Diet in
2005,
to allow ordinary joint stock companies
to
run agricultural businesses under a
farmland
rental system. Plans to Set Food Self-Sufficiency Ratios
for Prefectures and Municipalities In conjunction with the setting of a target
level for Japan's food self-sufficiency
ratio,
a measure that is to be considered
in drafting
the new Basic Plan for Food, Agriculture
and Rural Areas, the Ministry of Agriculture,
Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF) plans,
besides
setting a national target, to put forward
proposals to encourage initiatives
aimed
at raising food self-sufficiency ratios
at
a local level, including the setting
of targets
by prefectural and municipal governments.
Vice Minister of Agriculture, Forestry
and
Fisheries Mamoru Ishihara revealed
the plans
at a regular press conference on December
13. For the past six years, Japan's food self-sufficiency
ratio has been 40%. It has not changed
since
the adoption of the latest Basic Plan
in
2000. The Vice Minister said it was vital to encourage
local government authorities to pursue
independent
initiatives to help raise food self-sufficiency
ratios and told reporters that getting
local
governments to set targets and promoting
local consumption of locally produced
food
was one way to boost ratios. MAFF set out this policy at a meeting of
the Council on Food, Agriculture and
Rural
Area Policies Planning Committee on
December
14. APEC Economic Leaders Reaffirm Commitment
to Exercise Leadership in Trade Liberalization The 12th APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting, held in
the Chilean capital Santiago, closed
on November
21 with the publication of a joint
declaration. The declaration reaffirms the commitment
to exercise leadership in the WTO (World
Trade Organization) trade negotiations
and
also sets out a policy of speeding
the negotiation
of FTAs (free trade agreements). The
key
points of the declaration are as follows: - The theme of the meeting was "One
Community, Our Future". - The leaders reaffirm their commitment to
achieve sustainable and equitable growth
and to enhance the standard of living
of
their people and reduce economic disparities
by liberalizing and facilitating trade
and
investment, enhancing human security
and
promoting good governance and the building
of a knowledge-based society. Promoting development through the liberalization
of trade and investment - The leaders reaffirm the primacy of a multilateral
trading system. They welcome the new
momentum
lent to the Doha Development Agenda
(DDA)
by the July Package adopted by the
General
Council of the WTO, and pledge to continue
this momentum. - They agree to work with a sense of urgency
to achieve a balanced overall outcome
that
will meet the high ambitions set for
these
negotiations in the areas of agriculture,
non-agricultural goods, services, and
rules,
while respecting the need for flexibility
and taking into account the needs of
developing
countries. - They agree to seek substantial results
at the Sixth WTO Ministerial Conference
and
instruct their Ministers and officials
to
work in earnest towards this goal. - They agree to contribute to negotiations
on trade facilitation by sharing their
considerable
experience within APEC with the rest
of the
WTO and contributing to the DDA negotiations - They agree that FTAs play an important
role in accelerating liberalization
in the
region, thus contributing to the achievement
of the Bogor Goals and the advancement
of
the WTO process. They welcome the APEC
Best
Practices for FTAs as providing a meaningful
point of reference for APEC members
negotiating
FTAs, and commit to working for greater
transparency
in FTAs. - They recognize that improved protection
of intellectual property rights helps
to
promote investment and economic growth
and
welcome APEC's work based on the APEC
Comprehensive
Strategy on Intellectual Property Rights
and encourage further progress. Santiago Initiative for Expanded Trade in
APEC - The leaders have agreed to launch a Santiago
Initiative for Expanded Trade in APEC,
geared
to the further liberalization and facilitation
of trade and investment as a complement
the
achievement of free and open trade
in the
region. - ABAC (APEC Business Advisory Council) has
proposed studies for a "Trans-Pacific
Business Agenda" and a "Free
Trade
Area of the Asia-Pacific". The leaders look forward to ABAC's continued
participation as they implement the
Santiago
Initiative. Good governance and the building of a knowledge-based
society - The leaders call up their officials to
advance the creation of an "APEC
Sustainable
Development Framework" and report
on
progress by the time of the next meeting
in 2005. - They welcome the Ministers' report on progress
made this year in strengthening APEC.
They
reaffirm the need to continue to make
APEC
more efficient and responsive to stakeholders. Outline Japan-Philippines EPA Agreed; Japan-ASEAN
EPA Talks to Start in April On November 30, 2004, Prime Minister Junichiro
Koizumi met the leaders of the ASEAN in countries
in Vientiane ,capital of Laos, for talks at which it was
confirmed that negotiations with a
view to
the conclusion of an EPA (economic
partnership
agreement), comprising an FTA (free
trade
agreement), between Japan and the ASEAN
countries
would start in April 2005. This development
will speed EPA talks with the ASEAN
region
as a whole, as well as the countries
with
which Japan is already negotiating. The previous day, November 29, Mr. Koizumi
had met Ms. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo,
President
of the Republic of the Philippines
for talks
at which the two leaders agreed the
outline
of an EPA between Japan and the Philippines
(outline results of negotiations on
trade
in agricultural, forestry and fishery
products
shown below). Officials from the two
countries
will now prepare a draft agreement,
aiming
for implementation by the end of 2006. Outline Results of Negotiations on Trade in Agricultural, Forestry and Fishery
Products 1. Measures to be adopted by Japan (1) Sensitive products to be excluded or
renegotiated State traded products (rice, wheat, barley,
designated dairy products), beef, pork,
raw
sugar, starches, canned pineapple,
fishery
products under import quota, tuna &
swordfish
(bluefin tuna, bigeye tuna, etc.),
plywood,
etc. (2) Sugar Raw sugar: To be renegotiated four years
from implementation of agreement Molasses: Tariff quota (in quota rate to
be 50% of tariff beyond limits of quota) 3rd year: 2,000 tons ® 4th year: 3,000 tons Muscovado sugar (containing molasses): Tariff quota (in quota rate to be 50% of
tariff beyond limits of quota) 3rd year: 300 tons ® 4th year: 400 tons (in retail containers of
1 kg or less) (3) Chicken meat Chicken meat (excluding chicken thighs on
the bone): Tariff quota (in quota rate to be reduced
from 11.9% to 8.5%) 1st year: 3,000 tons ® 5th year: 7,000 tons (4) Pineapples @@@@@ Pineapples (fresh): Tariff quota
for pineapples of small weight (tariff up
to quota to be 0%) 1st year: 1,000 tons ® 5th year: 1,800 tons (5) Bananas @@@@@ Smaller varieties: Tariffs to be abolished
10 years from implementation of agreement @@@@@ Other varieties: @@@@@@@@@@@Winter tariff: 20% ® 18% (over a period of 10 years) @@@@@@@@@@@Summer tariff: 10%
® 8% (over a period of 10 years) (6) Fishery products @@@@@ Yellowfin tuna, skipjack tuna: 2. Measures to be adopted by the Philippines Sensitive items among Japanese exports (grapes,
apples, Asian pear, etc.): Tariffs
to be
abolished with immediate effect MAFF BSE Survey in US Suggests Verification
of Cattle Age is Likely to be Limited On December 7, 2004, in conjunction with
the prospective lifting of the ban
on imports
of beef, the Ministry of Agriculture,
Forestry
and Fisheries (MAFF) published the
results
of a survey, carried out in the United
States
and Canada, on methods of verification
of
the age of cattle based on birth registration.
The survey report suggests that, as
compared
with Canada, where an individual ID
system
for cattle has been introduced, the
number
of cattle whose age can be verified
is likely
to be rather limited in the United
States,
where the creation of age verification
systems
did not begin until later. The report
also
identifies the problem that, in both
countries,
accuracy of verification varies between
farms. Officials of MAFF, the Ministry of Health,
Labour and Welfare and other ministries
concerned
carried out inspections at slaughterhouses
and beef cattle breeding farms in the
states
of Alberta (Canada) and Kansas (United
States),
between November 28 and December 5,
2004.
At slaughterhouses in both countries,
differences
were observed in the parts of the carcass
designated as SRM (specified risk material)
and the methods used to remove SRM,
from
the parts and methods designated and
used
in Japan. Slaughterhouse technicians
expressed
a willingness to remove SRM according to the standards as
used in Japan. MAFF believes "the
situation
will not present any particularly severe
problems" (Food Safety and Consumer
Affairs Bureau, Animal Health and Animal
Products Safety Division). Biodegradable Plastic Tableware to be Tested
at Aichi Expo Approximately 20 million pieces of biodegradable
plastic tableware made from maize and
other
vegetable raw materials, that will
return
to dust, are to be used at The 2005
World
Exposition, Aichi, Japan (EXPO 2005
Aichi
Japan), which opens in March 2005.
The plan
is that plates, cups, spoons, and other
tableware
used in restaurants on site will afterwards
be composted, along with kitchen refuse,
for use by vegetable farmers. The experiment
is a government model project and has
been
planned by a team led by the Japan
Bioindustry
Association (JBA; Chuo-ku, Tokyo).
It is
apparently the world's largest validation
experiment geared to commercialization. Two types of tableware are to be used at
the Expo — simple disposable
tableware
and returnable tableware that will
be reused.
Approximately 20 million pieces of
disposable
tableware, of approximately 20 different
types (cups, straws, lunch boxes, etc.)
will
be made ready, largely for use by fast
food
shops. It will be collected along with
kitchen
refuse and put through a fermentation
and
decomposition process using microorganisms,
at a composting facility in Aichi Prefecture,
and will be fully composted in the
space
of six months. The returnable tableware,
of which there will be approximately
100,000
pieces, includes plates, bowls and
beer glasses,
and will be used repeatedly by restaurants.
Any broken items will be melted down
and
reused to make refuse sacks, trays,
etc.
Hay fever sufferers will have a hard time
this coming spring. Research by Mr. Murayama, a senior expert at the Japan Meteorological
Business Support Center, suggests that
levels
of Japanese cedar and Japanese cypress
pollen
that will be released in spring 2005
are
likely to be 1.5-2 times higher, on
a nationwide
basis, than in the average year. They
are
also set to be 10-30 times higher than
in
spring 2004, when pollen levels were
particularly
low, and will be comparable to those
of spring
1995, the highest since 1965, when
records
began. According to Mr. Murayama, pollen
levels are higher in springs following
a
hot summer with little rainfall and,
if the
summer before that has been a cold
one, the
number of male flower buds rises sharply. It has already been observed that, in the
wake of the cool summer of 2003 and
the hot
summer of 2004, Japanese cedar and
Japanese
cypress trees are bearing extremely
large
numbers of flower buds. A Short-Leaved Welsh Onion for the Age of
"Mini" Vegetables The development of labor-saving production
technology for short-leaved Welsh onions,
on which the Toyama Vegetable and Ornamental
Crops Experiment Station has been working
since FY 2002, is nearing completion.
Reducing
the length of the soft white section
to approximately
20 cm and the overall length to 40
cm or
less will not only solve the problem
of Welsh
onions not fitting in supermarket baskets
or refrigerators, but is expected to
save
labor and make for lighter work in
cultivation
and extend the shipping period, among
other
benefits. Given the diversification
of consumption
patterns, the mini vegetable has the
potential
to be a hit with consumers, and is
attracting
widespread interest as a differentiated
product. For consumers, the merit of the short-leaved
Welsh onion is that it is easy to buy
and
easy to handle. Producers will be able
to
reduce the number of times they have
to build
up the ridges from five times to twice,
and
as the number of leaves at the time
of shipment
has been increased from three to five
or
six, they will be able to save on peeling
work. The height of ridges can be halved, and the
interval between ridges reduced by
30 cm,
so that the density of planting can
be increased.
The short-leaved Welsh onions also
grow quickly
and can be shipped in July and August
and
in December-February, when it has been
difficult
to ship single-stem Welsh onions and can be shipped in relay with multiple-stem
onions. A spokesman for the Experiment Station said,
"We now have a shortlist of five
promising
varieties. This year, which is the
last of
our program, we hope to narrow the
selection
down to two varieties that we will
register. Decoding of Rice Genome Completed The International Rice Genome Sequencing
Project (IRGSP), an international team
of
scientists from ten countries and regions
around the world, including Japan,
has completed
the decoding of the entire genome (genetic
code) of rice. The results of the project
were communicated to Minister of Agriculture,
Forestry and Fisheries Yoshinobu Shimamura
on December 13, 2004. On receiving
the report,
Mr. Shimamura said, "This is an
epoch-making
achievement that will be welcomed throughout
the world for the contribution it will
make
to resolving the world food problem." Variety improvement will, in future, be far
more efficient as it will be easier
to seek
out important genes such as those that
determine
yield and flavor. The work can be expected
to find applications to wheat and maize,
and opens up the possibility of improving
the global food situation. Rice is
the first
crop of which the entire genome has
been
decoded. The international team's work on decoding
the rice genome began in 1998, using
the
"Nihonbare" variety of Japonica
rice. The genetic information is expressed
by different sequences of four chemicals
(base sequences) in the DNA (deoxyribonucleic
acid) contained in cell nuclei. Rice
has
approximately 390 million base pairs. In December 2002, Prime Minister Junichiro
Koizumi announced to the world that
the bulk
of the work of decoding the base sequences
had been completed. The team has continued
its work, concentrating on the 390
million
pairs of base sequences that can be
decoded
with existing technology. Some 55%
of these
have been decoded by Japanese scientists. The decoded base sequences will be published.
The information they contain will stimulate
an intensification of international
competition
in genetic research and variety development.
Japanese scientists, too, will aim
to lead
the way in the development of superior
varieties
of rice, within the next five years,
that
will ensure that anyone, anywhere in
the
world will have plenty of tasty rice
to eat. In-store Labelling of Domestic Beef to Give
Access to Production History Begins The Beef Traceability Law applies to the
distribution process from market onwards
as of December 1, 2004. To help ensure
the
safety of domestically produced beef
and
give peace of mind, the Law requires
slaughterhouses,
distributors and specialist restaurants
to
display the individual ID numbers of
the
animals whose meat they handle and
to keep
records of transactions. In December 2002, the first stage of implementation
of the Law required producers and slaughterhouses
to fit ear tags to cattle and declare
details
of the birth and slaughter of animals.
The
imposition of the labeling requirements
is
the second stage of implementation.
Supermarkets
and yakiniku [Korean-style barbecue] restaurants, among
others, will be required to display
the individual
ID numbers of the cattle whose meat
they
handle on price tags, at the entrance
to
the store or restaurant, etc. Consumers can view information such as an
animal's breed and where it was born,
bred
and slaughtered by accessing the website
of the National Livestock Breeding
Center
and entering its ID number. The Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and
Fisheries has established arrangements
to
verify that ID numbers are being properly
disclosed by conducting DNA tests of
beef
sold in retail stores and samples of
meat
taken from carcasses at meat markets.
The Insecurity of Asia's Rice Supply is a
Severe Problem The amount of rice concerned in the debate
as to whether or not Japan should give
aid
to North Korea is 125,000 tons. Every
day,
around the world, a quantity of rice
stocks
close to this figure disappears. In
simple
terms, this is because the amount of
rice
the world produces is failing to keep
pace
with the amount of rice it consumes.
It is
estimated that world rice stocks at
the end
of May 2004 totaled 71.44 million tons
(polished
rice equivalent), around 40 million
tons
or 35% less than in May 2003. The figures
were revealed in the Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates published by the United States Department
of Agriculture (USDA) on November 12,
2004.
They signify that over the past year,
the
world's rice stocks have been falling
by
more than 100,000 tons a day. Owing to the fact that the world has been
tapping into its rice stocks for four
years
in succession, the international price
of
rice has risen by 20% over the past
year.
As the governments of Asian countries
have
started to give priority to boosting
production,
experts believe that rice stocks are
unlikely
to continue to fall unchecked. However,
it
is certain that the supply of rice
has become
unstable and, given the succession
of droughts
around the world and the trend of global
warming, it is important that we take
the
problem of falling rice stocks more
seriously. Rice is a key cereal crop on which half of
the world's population relies as a
staple
food. One important difference from
maize,
wheat or soybeans is the fact that
only around
6% of all rice produced is traded.
Although
rice commercially traded, the tendency
to
self-sufficiency on a national basis
is very
strong and when the harvest is poor, prices tend
to rise sharply. The USDA describes
the international
rice market as "thin, volatile
and risky".
Moreover, the relationship of supply
and
demand is complicated by the considerable
differences in flavor between Indica,
Japonica
and other varieties of rice. Another difference is that 90% of all rice
production and consumption is concentrated
in Asia. In some Asian countries, annual
rice consumption is more than 200 kg
per
capita. This is three times the level
of
consumption in Japan and means that
people
in those countries get most of their
nutrition
from rice. The instability of the rice
supply-demand
situation could be seen as a yellow
light
for food security in Asia. One economist at the International Rice Research
Institute in the Philippines observes
that
stronger economies would be able to
withstand
a rise in the international price of
rice
but poor countries that import rice
would
surely be dealt a severe blow. Some
800 million
people around the world are suffering
from
malnutrition. It may be easy to assume
that
Asia, whose economic development has
been
so spectacular, has nothing to fear
from
malnutrition, yet 65% of those suffering
from malnutrition live in Asia. These
people
took a direct hit from last year's
rise in
the price of rice. Japan, where per capita consumption of rice
is falling, has been pursuing "production
adjustments" for more than 30
years.
Except in years when the harvest is
affected
by severe cold damage, rice has become
a
food that can be bought cheaply, at
any time
and any place. In terms of food security,
the future of the rice supply cannot
be considered
as an issue that does not concern Japan. The year 2004 has been designated International
Year of Rice, with the theme "Rice
is
Life". Under the leadership of
the United
Nations, special events and research
conferences
relating to rice are taking place around
the world. In the face of the ongoing
decline
of rice stocks, we should reflect once
more
on the seriousness of this theme. (from an editorial in the November October24, 2004 issue of the Nihon Nogyo Shimbun) |